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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">ecna</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Экономика науки</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Economics of Science</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2410-132X</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2949-4680</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Delo Publishing house</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="edn" pub-id-type="custom">FWXAVB</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">ecna-650</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОРГАНИЗАЦИЯ НАУКИ И ВОПРОСЫ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>GOVERNANCE OF SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT ISSUES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Системный анализ публикационной среды и диссертационной результативности в системе подготовки кадров высшей квалификации в России</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title></trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0941-5803</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ковалев</surname><given-names>В. Е.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор экономических наук, доцент, проректор по научной работе, профессор кафедры мировой экономики и внешнеэкономической деятельности, Уральский государственный экономический университетSPIN-код: 5938-0087, Author ID: 57195670871ResearcherID: V‑4936-2018ORCID: 0000‑0003‑0941‑5803</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kovalev@usue.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6837-1399</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Антинескул</surname><given-names>Е. А.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>доктор экономических наук, доцент, профессор кафедры менеджмента и предпринимательства, Уральский государственный экономический университетSPIN-код: 5099-7513, Author ID: 57315419000ResearcherID: GRJ‑7170-2022ORCID: 0000‑0002‑6837‑1399</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">antineskul-e-a@yandex.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4336-5283</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Соколова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>ведущий специалист отдела наукометрии, Уральский государственный экономический университетSPIN-код: 2286-1574, Author ID: 57211860395ResearcherID: GPP‑6928-2022ORCID: 0000‑0002‑4336‑5283</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">sokolova_ev@usue.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="ru" id="aff-1"><institution>Уральский государственный экономический университет, г. Екатеринбург, Россия</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2026</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>28</day><month>09</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>12</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>60</fpage><lpage>77</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Ковалев В.Е., Антинескул Е.А., Соколова Е.В., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ковалев В.Е., Антинескул Е.А., Соколова Е.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Ковалев В.Е., Антинескул Е.А., Соколова Е.В.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://ecna.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/650">https://ecna.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/650</self-uri><abstract><p>Проблему подготовки кадров высшей квалификации в современной России связывают с трансформацией аспирантуры как института воспроизводства научно-педагогических кадров, сокращением кадрового резерва высшей школы, снижением диссертационной результативности и сохраняющейся межрегиональной асимметрии исследовательского потенциала. Однако взаимосвязь параметров публикационной среды, формируемой требованиями научной аттестации и конфигурацией Перечня ВАК, с диссертационной результативностью остается недостаточно изученной количественно.</p><p>Цель исследования состоит в разработке аналитического инструментария для системной оценки публикационной среды и ее статистической сопряженности с диссертационной результативностью в условиях трансформации регуляторной рамки научной аттестации.</p><p>В работе предложен набор открытых индикаторов для оценки условий диссертационной подготовки на основе параметров публикационной активности журналов, включенных в Перечень ВАК, и региональной динамики защищенных диссертаций. Информационную базу расчётной части исследования составили данные eLIBRARY.RU за 2015–2024 гг. Для характеристики институционального и кадрового контекстов дополнительно использованы официальные статистические и нормативные материалы.</p><p>Методологическую основу исследования составили методы описательной статистики, оценки концентрации и линейных трендов, анализа годовых изменений, корреляционного анализа и квартильной группировки.</p><p>Результаты исследования свидетельствуют о высокой межрегиональной концентрации научно-публикационной активности, преобладании нисходящих траекторий по числу защищенных диссертаций и численности исследовательского персонала при положительной динамике внутренних затрат на исследования и разработки. Доказана статистическая сопряженность публикационно-авторских показателей с числом защищенных диссертаций. На уровне журналов выявлено снижение доли новых авторов и рост их среднего возраста.</p><p>Практическая значимость исследования состоит в разработке подхода к мониторингу публикационной среды и связанных с ней условий диссертационной подготовки с учетом регуляторных требований научной аттестации.</p></abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>научно-публикационная активность</kwd><kwd>научно-исследовательская деятельность</kwd><kwd>публикационная среда</kwd><kwd>диссертационная результативность</kwd><kwd>аспирантура</kwd><kwd>политика научных изданий ВАК</kwd><kwd>кадры высшей квалификации</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group><funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Данное исследование выполнено без внешнего финансирования.</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Алпатов, Г.Е., &amp; Анохина, Е.М. (2021). 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